The Chargers take on the Chicago Bears this Sunday. The Bears are bringing with them a 3rd down conversion rate of 31% (26th in NFL) and a red zone efficiency rate of 54% (10th in NFL).
In this weekly article, Pro Football Spotlight will bring you the upcoming opponent’s rushing and passing tendencies, as well as some additional data and observations. For example: Did you know that the Chicago Bears are first in the NFL in punt return average?
Every team in the NFL has strengths and weaknesses, tendencies, and go-to guys. They have plays they like to call during tight situations or directions they like to run when in the middle of the football field.
Let’s take a look at the rest of those tendencies…
- Bears Offense
Left End Left Tackle Left Guard Up the Middle Right Guard Right Tackle Right End No: 33 No: 28 No: 29 No: 18 No: 34 No: 43 No: 46 Rank: 11 Rank: 19 Rank: 9 Rank: 32 Rank: 9 Rank: 4 Rank: 5 Avg: 2.9 Avg: 5.1 Avg: 5.9 Avg: 4.8 Avg: 2.4 Avg: 3.9 Avg: 6.7
- Chargers Defense
Left End Left Tackle Left Guard Up the Middle Right Guard Right Tackle Right End No: 37 No: 23 No: 12 No: 99 No: 14 No: 24 No: 37 Rank: 5 Rank: 23 Rank: 30 Rank: 2 Rank: 28 Rank: 23 Rank: 5 Avg: 6.6 Avg: 4.0 Avg: 6.4 Avg: 4.1 Avg: 3.3 Avg: 6.5 Avg: 3.0
- Above, is a new slider graph we are trying at PFS. First, you will see the Raiders run tendencies. If you click the ribbon (grey column) on the right you will see how opponents are doing against the Chargers’ defense. Hope you like it.
- The Chicago Bears love to run the ball to the right. In fact, they have the biggest tendency to run right that I have seen this year.
- The Bears are ranked 9th in the NFL, in attempts toward their right guard, 4th in the NFL toward their right tackle, and 5th in the NFL toward their right end. That is a team that likes to run run right.
- The Chargers have been attacked at the right end (defensive left) the 5th most in the NFL, with 37. But they are only giving up 3.0 yards, per attempt, in that area, which is ranked 6th best in the NFL.
- On the other side, the left end (right defensive side), the Chargers are being attacked the 5th most in the NFL, also. But they are giving up a more generous 6.6 yards, per carry (24th in NFL).
- Since the Bears love to run right…look for them to do the same against the Chargers. Those numbers around the left end look tantalizing, though. So expect Chicago to see if they can take advantage of the Chargers’ soft spot around the left end, as well.
| 2011 Target By Zone Chart
|Avg. Gain: 11.0
||Avg. Gain: 12.7
||Avg. Gain: 3.1
||Plays: 59||Plays: 107
|Avg. Gain: 5.2
||Avg. Gain: 9.0
||Avg. Gain: 6.5
- The Bears have had some success when throwing the ball down the middle of the field. They are currently ranked 7th in the NFL in the number of attempts toward the deep middle zone.
- I had to go back and double check that average yardage, per catch, in the deep right zone…and it is correct. The Bears are getting only 3.1 yards, per attempt, in the deep right zone. That is not good. It might be because they are completing only 12% of their passes in that zone.
- The 9.0 yards, per attempt, in the short middle zone is the best production in the NFL, in that area.
- The Chargers are giving up a lot of passes in the short zones. Their best ranking in completion percentage given up in a short zone, is 23rd. All short zones are ranked in the bottom quarter of the NFL.
- Look for the Bears to throw those short routes and take advantage of the Chargers’ soft spots. Since the Chargers are pretty stingy in the deep left and right sides of the field…look for Chicago to test the softer deep middle. A location the Bears appear to prefer, anyway.